The Science Behind Crime Risk
Developed by CAP Index’s team of criminologists over decades of sophisticated research, our proprietary scoring methodology ensures accurate assessment of risk.
Hundreds of Data Points, One Crime Risk Score
What differentiates CAP’s crime risk assessment? We don’t just rely on police data for our analysis. The CAP Index scoring methodology uses advanced forecasting techniques that combine hundreds of demographic and business statistics with crime and loss data to calculate crime risk with precision and consistency.
This variable approach is based on Social Disorganization Theory, which asserts that neighborhood social problems tend to correlate with crime in a particular location.
The result: An unbiased, data-backed score tailored to each industry and organization that accurately predicts the likelihood of crime and loss at any given address.
The Data Behind Your Insights
The intelligence powering our smart security solutions incorporates dozens of data sets with more than 100 risk factors, including:
Education Data
- Education Level Achieved
- School Populations (K-12)
- Population in Higher Education
Housing Data
- Housing Distributions
- Housing Types
- Housing Values
Client Crime & Loss Data
Transit Data
- Travel Time to Work
- Means of Transit to Work
- Vehicles per Household
Population Data
- Age Distributions
- Family/Household Makeup
- Marital Status
Industry Crime & Loss Data
Economic Data
- Households in Poverty
- Employment Rates
- Incomes Amounts/Sources
Business Data
- Business Type
- Business Density
- Business Proximity
Police Data
Find Your Methodology
Each crime risk score is calculated using one of our four scoring methodologies, which represent different influences on risk. This includes how far perpetrators travel to commit a crime — known in criminology as the “journey to crime” — and how it may affect the crime risk in surrounding areas. A report that includes multiple methodologies can give you a more complete view of crime risk.
Not sure which method of measurement is right for your goals? Learn more:
Protect Your Organization With Data
Ready to elevate your security strategy using data-driven crime risk intelligence? Learn more about CAP Index’s suite of solutions.




