Not All Crime Risk Scores Are Created Equal
Some rely on flashy claims. We rely on Ph.D.-level experts, real data, and 30+ years of proven methodology.
More Than Just Police Reports
Our models integrate a wide-range of datasets to build a comprehensive picture of crime risk, including:
Proven Socio-Economic Indicators
Evidence-Based Criminological Models
Widest Police Data Set
Industry Crime & Loss Data
Transit/Mobility Data
Built For Legal Defensibility
5 Key Questions to Ask Crime Risk Score Providers
1. Is the data truly predictive, or just a repackage of past incident counts?
Yes, our data is truly predictive. CAP Index crime risk scores use current crime data (where we are able to collect it) to predict crime everywhere, including in places where data on crime are completely unavailable. Because of that, CAP scores are predictive by design and incorporate evidence-based criminological frameworks and socio-economic indicators that identify the underlying drivers of crime risk. This approach allows scores to forecast relative risk.
2. How is underreporting addressed?
Underreporting is a well-documented challenge in crime data, but our models successfully overcome this issue. By modeling crime risk conditions rather than relying solely on reported incidents, our scores reduce the distortion caused by uneven reporting rates across locations. We do this by carefully validating the crime data we receive and use to predict risk nationwide to ensure that reporting volumes match expected levels and are recorded with the proper standards.
3. Who created the methodology, and what are their credentials?
CAP Index employs a dedicated team of Ph.D. criminologists, sociologists, and statisticians who design, maintain, and refine our models. Our methodology is the result of more than 30 years of continuous research and applied crime modeling, not a marketing-driven algorithm. Our team continuously looks to improve the collection of crime data that serves as the foundation for our risk model, as well as the statistical sophistication of the model to ensure our scores are the most accurate they can be.
4. Can the data evaluate comparable risk across all of my locations?
Yes. CAP Index scores are standardized to evaluate comparable crime risk across all geographies, enabling organizations to assess relative risk consistently across portfolios, regions, and markets. A higher score always represents higher crime risk compared to the national average, allowing for clear, defensible comparisons.
5. How accurate are your scores? Are the models peer-reviewed or independently validated?
Our scores are proven to be accurate. We publish annual validation studies demonstrating that our crime risk scores consistently correlate with actual crime incidents not used in the initial score development. This ongoing validation process ensures transparency, reliability, and legal defensibility when scores are used to support high-stakes decisions.
Validated Every Year.
Built for Legal Defensibility.
We publish annual validation studies showing that our crime risk scores consistently correlate with actual crime rates.
Higher scores = higher crime. No guesswork needed.
Built on Expertise, Not Buzzwords
While others market “next-gen” crime scoring, CAP Index employs a full team of Ph.D.-level criminologists, sociologists, and statisticians dedicated to one mission: accurate, actionable crime forecasting.
Why Top Brands Trust CAP Index
When safety, security, and profitability are on the line, leaders across industries turn to CAP Index for our proven performance.
- Fortune 500 retailers looking to reduce shrink and protect customers
- Global logistics and insurers managing dispersed, high-value assets
- Financial institutions and law enforcement needing reliable risk insight


