We analyzed nearly 5 million address-specific crimes that occurred in 2022. The crimes were reported by 1,000+ police departments covering more than 40% of the United States population and were not used to build our 2022 database as they had not yet occurred.
The goal of our analysis was to assess the ability of CAP Scores to predict actual subsequent crime occurrences throughout the United States. The charts below show the breakdown of each crime type by CAP Index Risk Category. The strong correlations that can be seen validate the high accuracy of the CAP Index Scoring System.
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CAP Index Risk Categories
OUR PROCESS
Step 1: We gathered and reviewed crime data reported throughout the United States.
Step 2: Each reported crime was assigned a CAP Score and grouped into one of four CAP Index Risk Categories.
Step 3: We analyzed the relationships between reported crimes and CAP Scores for each crime category.
Conclusion: The results of our analysis illustrate the direct correlation between the predictive nature of CAP Scores and the actual occurrence of crime throughout the United States.
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