Crime Risk Consulting & Analytics

Validating the 2022 CAP Index Scoring System

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We analyzed nearly 5 million address-specific crimes that occurred in 2022. The crimes were reported by 1,000+ police departments covering more than 40% of the United States population and were not used to build our 2022 database as they had not yet occurred.

The goal of our analysis was to assess the ability of CAP Scores to predict actual subsequent crime occurrences throughout the United States. The charts below show the breakdown of each crime type by CAP Index Risk Category. The strong correlations that can be seen validate the high accuracy of the CAP Index Scoring System.  


CAP Index Risk CategoriesCAP Index Scale - 4 levels

The CAP Index Scoring System and Actual Crime - % of Crimes that Occurred in Location with CAP Score of 200+
of all crimes
of homicides
of robberies

Step 1: We gathered and reviewed crime data reported throughout the United States.
Step 2: Each reported crime was assigned a CAP Score and grouped into one of four CAP Index Risk Categories. 
Step 3: We analyzed the relationships between reported crimes and CAP Scores for each crime category.
Conclusion: The results of our analysis illustrate the direct correlation between the predictive nature of CAP Scores and the actual occurrence of crime throughout the United States.

What Clients Say

CAP Reports are critical to my risk assessments. They have enabled us to take a more surgical approach to investing in our stores that need it the most.

Brad Reeves
Senior Manager of Asset Protection
Five Below, Inc.

CAP Index is the first tool I turn to when time is of the essence. I can always depend on CAP Index to provide me qualified crime information within a very few minutes that I feel comfortable reviewing with the C-Suite.

Stephen A. Brown, CPP
Director, Corporate Security / Facility Security Officer
Burns & McDonnell

CAP Index data is a vital part of our security decision-making process.

Keith McGlen, CPP, CHPA
Associate Vice President
System Security Services
Memorial Hermann Health System

CRIMECAST® Reports have helped our organization for many years to proactively assess the particular risk for crime surrounding our facilities. The CAP Index® CRIMECSAST Platform is an easy-to-use online service that provides us with the flexibility to share and decentralize crime risk data within our North America business units.

Carlos J. Cortez,
Manager, Global Security Programs,
Kraft Foods, Inc. / Mondelez International

Our property selectors are not discouraged from a site just because it receives a high score. What we do is issue every store – all of them – a security classification. The classification determines how we allocate our security resources to that store.

Claude Verville,

CAP Index's online platform, CRIMECAST, is great. It is easy to use and quick!

Ken Wieczorek,
Bank of America

In industries where there is high public contact and a customer is coming to our location (such as retail), why would you leave it to chance when planning security when there is an easy, affordable tool? When investing a million dollars on a location, what is this small charge compared to what it may cost you when you get sued?

Jay Beighley,
Nationwide Insurance

CAP Index assessments are a must for anyone engaged in asset protection. The new website is much improved and as important, easy to navigate.

Bruce List,
The Williams Companies

We have been using CAP Index for a few years and include it in our security vulnerability assessments. Highly recommend it.

Dan Yaross
Director, Protective Services
Nationwide Children's Hospital