Download the 2020 Validation Study

The 2020 US Validation Study is now available for download. This study analyzes over 3.8 million address-specific crimes reported in the United States and their correlation to CAP Index scores.

Download the study

CAP Index continues to maintain its leadership position as the preeminent source of accurate and comprehensive risk assessment information. The CRIMECAST® scoring system is based on the strong relationship between a neighborhood’s “social disorganization” and the amount of crime that occurs there. The social disorganization theory views weakly-organized social environments as a major determinant of criminal activity. CAP Index conducted a study to assess crime trends from 2017-2019 as well as validate the strength of the correlation between CAP Index Scores and reported crime frequencies throughout the United States. Over 3.8 million address-specific crimes were assessed, and the following crime categories were analyzed: Homicide, Rape, Robbery, Aggravated Assault, Burglary, Larceny, and Motor Vehicle Theft.